With just 29 days left until the June 30 deadline for a nuclear accord between the US and Iran, several critical topics remain unresolved, including enrichment limits, sanctions relief, verification methods, and access for IAEA inspections. Prediction markets indicate a 57.5 percent chance that no agreement will be reached by the deadline. Iran's cooperation with the IAEA has been on hold since the conflict in February-March, which has prevented international inspectors from verifying the current status or scope of Iran's nuclear activities for several months. Officials from the UK, Germany, and France have emphasized that any agreement must ensure full IAEA inspection access, a necessity highlighted by the IAEA chief, who warned that without it, any deal would be merely illusory.
