On June 16, 2026, The Economist reported that Ukrainian armed forces reclaimed roughly 161 square miles in the last month, signifying a notable surge in their counteroffensive efforts. Analysis from ISW indicates that during the same period, Russia experienced a net loss of 57 square miles. Additionally, Ukraine's drone operations targeting Russian oil facilities have impaired or obliterated around 20 percent of Russia's refining capabilities since early 2024. In April 2026, Ukrainian forces executed at least 21 attacks on Russian oil refineries, export terminals, vessels, and pipeline pumping stations — marking the highest monthly figure since December — which has led to refinery production dropping to its lowest level in over 16 years.
